Earlier this month I turned in my latest article for Inc. magazine's technology site. It's on why I think 2008 will be the year small businesses will fully embrace CRM. I laid out a few reasons why I think this will happen for the REAL small business crowd - 100 employees or fewer.
UPDATE - I forgot to include the link to my Inc.com article, so here it is:
Small Business Should Embrace CRM in 2008
I talk about how Salesforce.com has led the way in making CRM and SaaS available to the masses, creating an unbelievable amount of attention and, along with NetSuite and RightNow, keeping it alive in the dark days of the dot com bust. So now, with a growing number of companies creating great, affordable, accessible, full-functioned CRM services, it really looks like the time for small businesses to take the plunge. And you have to take your hat off to Marc Benioff for being the industry's ring leader.
And I was feeling real good about that prediction until I started hearing these rumors about Oracle potentially buying Salesforce.com. Now this is bad (for me that is) for two main reasons:
- I had predicted two straight years that Google would buy Salesforce.com
- If Oracle does end up buying Salesfoce.com, I think that seriously jeopardizes my prediction that 2008 becomes the year small business dives head-first into CRM
The first point is bad (for me that is) because it really would have been cool to have predicted that one. After all I even got that prediction included in CRM magazine, so I really would have been cool. But the second point is the more important one. After all Oracle, as good as a company as it is, is not known for having a strong relationship with the SmB community - meaning companies under 100 employees. And I think Oracle gobbling up Salesforce.com would scare many of the small Salesforce.com customers off. With Salesforce already swimming upstream concentrating more heavily on enterprise deals, you'd have to believe that even more emphasis will be on battling SAP and Microsoft for more enterprise deals. And while there are many other up and coming CRM providers who will gladly step into a void (if any is created) should Salesforce get swallowed up and focus on small customers begins to evaporate, it would slow the pace of adoption dramatically, in my opinion. Uncertainty and doubt will basically dampen much of the enthusiasm in the space.
But my prediction still has a chance because I don't know if this marriage is really going to take place. And many of the folks I've talked to about the rumor seem to think it's just that - a rumor. But in this world anything is possible, except one of my predictions coming true. Thanks a lot Marc...you too Larry.
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